Global Climate Change Scientists VS Idiots
December 13, 2015 11 Comments
Earth experiences 30-35 year temperature cycles. The simple truth about climate change is that it is due to our use of energy of all sorts, from coal and hydrocarbons, hydro electricity, nuclear fission, solar panels for electricity or heating, wind power, hybrid cars, electric cars, battery operated devices. All forms of energy used by man , eventually put that energy into the atmosphere and heat it.
The most used energy sources are coal and hydrocarbons , about 80 percent , all the other forms make up the rest.
If one does simple calculations, as I have done , one finds that the hydrocarbon usage has heated the atmosphere by 1.68 deg K, over the past 210 years. If we divide the 1.68 by 0.8 we get a temperature rise of 2.1 deg K. (Which is the claimed rise experienced to date)
Now if one subtracts that value from the rise in temperature experienced over the same time period the result is 0 .
What this means for climate modelers and alarmist people is truly devastating as it means all their modeling work is incorrect, as there is no ” greenhouse ” effect.; rather it is just a purely chemical effect due to the release of energy.
The earth’s atmosphere can be considered a closed system to a great extent.
The atmosphere has an average temperature, which is contained in the bulk of the gases.
The only way for the earth to lose heat is by radiation from the top of the atmosphere.
Now if the top of the atmosphere consists of only 1 percent of the atmosphere and is quite cold it radiates heat based on its temperature .
Now if the bulk atmosphere temperature rises by 2. 1 degree K this does not mean that the temperature rises by 2.1 deg K everywhere.
The bulk will contain enough energy to give an average temperature which is 2.1 degrees higher, however the cold radiative surface temperature will only increase slightly.
Without doing any mass and heat transfer equations , my estimate is that the radiative surface temperature will only rise by 0.01 deg. K.
The heat loss will merely increase by 0.14 percent., which is within the error of measurement for heat loss.
This therefore means that while there is a climate warming effect, it is due simply to the combustion / energy use values and to a radiative altering “greenhouse” effect.
The current heating rate works out to be 0.8 deg. K per century. So it will take another 200 years before we get to a level of 4 deg. k higher than it was in 1800.
Sure the ice cap in the arctic is melting and polar bears are threatened in some locations, but there is very little we can do about the heating process other than to stop using any form of energy, which means going back to pre- industrial revolution activities, and which of us , especially the elite of Hollywood and Congress , is willing to do that.
There are some benefits of more CO2 in the atmosphere. Better crop yields, faster tree growth, a shorter route to Europe from Asia, therefore less energy expended shipping goods, lower heating costs offset by high cooling costs, although to feel cool we only need to lower the temp by 10 deg K in the summer, but to feel warm we need to raise the temp by 20 deg K in the winter.
Here are the numbers I have used in my calculations. It’s our lifestyle not a Greenhouse effect.
Some scientists do not take the time to do the basic science related to climate heating. I have and this is the result
C = 7 gigatons of Carbon/year = 7e12 kg Carbon/year burned to CO2
E = 678kJ/(0.014kg of (Carbon + H2))=56500000 J/(kg of Carbon) energy released to heat the atmosphere.
C_p = 1000 J/(K * kg of dry air)
M = 5e18 (kg of dry air) (total mass of atmosphere; you can also use (area of earth)*(surface pressure)/(gravity)), so
(dT/dt)=[(7e12 kg Carbon/year)56500000 J/(kg carbon)]/[1000 J/(K * kg of dry air)5e18 (kg of dry air)]=8e-2 K/year=0.008 K/year=0.8 K/century. so over 2.1 centuries this is 1.68 K
Simply put this means that for every kg of coal or oil burned we heat 56,500 kgs ( about 56 tons) of air 1 degree Kelvin / centigrade or 1.8 degrees F. This and this alone can account for the rise in temperature that has occurred over the past 210 years.